The speculation began almost immediately after Friday’s sudden dismissal of OpenAI CEO Sam Altman. The OpenAI board gave little reason for firing Altman, other than to say he had been less than honest with board members. But honest about what, exactly?

One popular theory on X posits that there’s an unseen factor hanging in the background, animating the players in this ongoing drama: the possibility that OpenAI researchers have progressed further than anyone knew toward artificial general intelligence (AGI)—that is, AI capable of carrying out a wide variety of tasks better than humans can perform them. Developing AGI, after all, is OpenAI’s main goal, as per its mission statement.

Reports over the weekend quoted unnamed sources saying the board believed Altman was hurrying to market with new AI products without giving the company’s safety teams enough time to install guardrails. It’s possible. There is a school of thought within OpenAI that it’s better to get new research out into the real world in the form of products (like ChatGPT) to gain an understanding of their benefits and risks. Altman is said to have been eager to capitalize on the success of ChatGPT, to launch new products using the momentum of the chatbot phenom.

But that still seems like something that could be worked out between a CEO and a board—unless the products in question involve AGI. It’s plausible that safety considerations around an AGI product that’s coming sooner or later could have influenced the action of the board.

Researchers may be closer to AGI than many people think. AI agents are just now becoming “autonomous” and gaining reasoning and task execution mechanisms. A recent research paper from Google DeepMInd, which offers a framework for tracking research companies’ progress toward AGI, says current systems are considered “competent AI”, meaning that they’re better at a narrow set of tasks than 50% of humans. That’s just one step away from “competent AGI,” in which the AI is better than most humans at most tasks.

But how will we know if or when OpenAI has reached its AGI goal? That’s the tough part, especially when the definition of AGI is somewhat flexible, as Google Brain cofounder Andrew Ng told Fast Company last month. Ng, now CEO and founder of Landing AI, says some people are tempted to adjust their definition of AGI to make it easier to meet in a technical sense.

OpenAI has done exactly that. Chief scientist Ilya Sutskever has said that meeting the bar for AGI requires a system that can be taught to do anything a human can be taught to do. But OpenAI has used a less-demanding definition in the past—defining AGI as systems that surpass human capabilities in a majority of economically valuable tasks. That’s the definition that appears on the “Structure” page of the OpenAI website today. It also makes clear that it is the OpenAI board that will define what AGI is and is not.

Then there’s the problem of transparency. Developer Sophia Huang points out that the release of GPT-2 was the last time OpenAI was open and transparent about its latest model–enough so that developers could read the research paper and then recreate the model. But that was four years ago, February 2019.

That was the same year that Altman led the creation of a for-profit (AKA “capped profit”) organization within OpenAI’s structure. In a general sense, for-profit AI companies have a better chance of attracting investment money if they don’t give away their IP on Github. Since 2019, OpenAI has grown more competitive, and more secretive about the details of its models.

If an OpenAI system has achieved AGI, or if its researchers can see a path to it, the implications are too big to be handled by one company. Most would agree that understanding and mitigating the risks of AGI is an effort that should involve governments, researchers, academia, and others around the world.

If and when AGI arrives and spreads, there’s a high likelihood that AI systems will begin eliminating jobs. If the Industrial Revolution is any guide, while AI will surely create some new jobs, it’ll likely eliminate many, many more. This means massive labor displacement and social upheaval. There’s also a real risk that the benefits of the new technology will be distributed unevenly—that it will further concentrate power in the hands of the wealthy and powerful.

Nobody knows exactly why Altman was ousted from OpenAI. He and ex-board chairman Greg Brockman are headed to new gigs at Microsoft (the clear winner in the whole situation). Meanwhile, the majority of OpenAI’s 700 employees are now threatening to quit if the existing board members don’t resign, with Altman and Brockman reinstated. This is the most dramatic news cycle we’ve seen around a tech company in years, maybe ever. AGI safety might be at the center of it.

By

116 thoughts on “Is an AGI breakthrough the cause of the OpenAI drama?”
  1. Откройте двери в мир нежности и наслаждения вместе с нашим магазином сладостей! У нас каждая плитка – это настоящий шедевр, созданный с любовью и вниманием к деталям. Наши сладкие деликатесы предлагают неповторимый опыт, который погружает вас в гармонию вкусов и ароматов. От изысканных темных шоколадов до нежных молочных комбинаций – у нас есть что-то для каждого ценителя сладкого. Посетите наш [url=https://maps.google.lt/url?sa=t&url=https://elassiohome.by/ ]сайт[/url] и окунунитесь в мир удовольствия и подарите себе и своим близким незабываемые моменты с нашими великолепными шоколадными наслаждениями.

  2. You made some good points there. I looked on the net to find out more about the issue and found most
    individuals will go along with your views on this web site.
    I saw similar here: E-commerce

  3. Hello! Do you know if they make any plugins to help with SEO?
    I’m trying to get my blog to rank for some targeted keywords but I’m not seeing very good
    success. If you know of any please share. Thanks! You can read
    similar blog here: Dobry sklep

  4. Hello there! Do you know if they make any plugins to assist with Search Engine Optimization? I’m trying to
    get my site to rank for some targeted keywords but I’m not seeing very good
    results. If you know of any please share.
    Cheers! I saw similar art here: Link Building

  5. I think this is among the most vital info for me. And i’m glad reading your article. But want to remark on few general things, The web site style is wonderful, the articles is really excellent : D. Good job, cheers

  6. Hi there! I realize this is sort of off-topic but I had to ask. Does operating a well-established website like yours take a massive amount work? I am brand new to operating a blog but I do write in my journal on a daily basis. I’d like to start a blog so I can share my personal experience and feelings online. Please let me know if you have any ideas or tips for new aspiring blog owners. Appreciate it!

  7. Youre so cool! I dont suppose Ive read anything in this way prior to. So nice to get somebody by incorporating original thoughts on this subject. realy i appreciate you for starting this up. this excellent website is one thing that is needed on the web, a person with some originality. valuable task for bringing new stuff for the world wide web!

  8. A person essentially lend a hand to make significantly articles I might state. That is the very first time I frequented your website page and up to now? I amazed with the research you made to create this particular publish incredible. Great activity!

  9. Hi, I do think this is an excellent web site. I stumbledupon it 😉 I am going to revisit once again since I book marked it. Money and freedom is the best way to change, may you be rich and continue to help other people.

  10. Oh my goodness! Incredible article dude! Many thanks, However I am going through issues with your RSS. I don’t know the reason why I am unable to join it. Is there anybody else having similar RSS problems? Anybody who knows the answer can you kindly respond? Thanks!!

  11. This is a really good tip especially to those fresh to the blogosphere. Short but very precise info… Thank you for sharing this one. A must read post.

  12. Whoah this weblog is great i love studying your articles. Keep up the great work! You know, many people are searching around for this info, you could aid them greatly.

  13. There are a couple of interesting points soon enough in this post but I don’t know if I see these people center to heart. You can find some validity but I’ll take hold opinion until I consider it further. Good post , thanks and we want much more! Combined with FeedBurner also

  14. Affiliate marketing is one of the most effective and powerful ways to earn money online. This type of program gives everyone the opportunity to make a profit through the Internet. Since these affiliate marketing programs are easy to join, implement and pay for the Commission on a regular basis, more people are now willing to be part of this type business.

  15. Just processing some free time on Stumbleupon and I found your entry. Not typically what I like to read about, but it was unquestionably valuable my time. Thanks.

  16. Howdy! I could have sworn I’ve been to this website before but after checking through some of the post I realized it’s new to me. Anyhow, I’m definitely happy I found it and I’ll be book-marking and checking back often!

  17. I don’t actually get how this is much of a difference between the New York Times publishing this or some internet blog. Stuff such as this one must to be pushed out more to the public. I wish that citizens in America would do something like this.

  18. A powerful share, I simply given this onto a colleague who was doing just a little evaluation on this. And he the truth is purchased me breakfast as a result of I found it for him.. smile. So let me reword that: Thnx for the treat! However yeah Thnkx for spending the time to discuss this, I really feel strongly about it and love studying extra on this topic. If doable, as you turn out to be experience, would you thoughts updating your weblog with more details? It is highly helpful for me. Big thumb up for this weblog submit!

  19. Hi, I do think this is an excellent web site. I stumbledupon it 😉 I am going to come back once again since I saved as a favorite it. Money and freedom is the best way to change, may you be rich and continue to help others.

  20. Spot up for this write-up, I really think this fabulous website needs considerably more consideration. I’ll apt to be once more to read a great deal more, thank you for that info.

  21. ok glad you are taking her to the vet. this will save my usual speal. depending on how long the hip has been out, you are looking at three main options, if the hip is in fact out. first an x-ray will have to be taken to prove this.. . your vet may be able to “pop” the hip back in and with some care at home to keep her quiet, you may not have any trouble.. . if the hip has been out too long to easliy “pop” back in then an ehmer sling will be applied. this will keep the leg pinched up toward the body so she can’t use the leg until the muscles tighten and allow the hip to stay in place.. . worst case she will need an FHO this is where the femoral head of the femur is removed. it is not a rare sugery. it’s been done several times and your vet should be able to do it or refer you to someone who can. aside from aftercare of being careful of the site and keeping her calm, most dogs do very well. she may always have a limp, but she’s a pup and would adjust very well. often this is better than a hip replacement or anything else like that fho dogs tend to not have arthritis issues later on from the surgery.. . good luck and hope everything just “pops” into place tomorrow.

  22. I’m not sure exactly how I found this blog because I had been researching information on Real Estate inWinter Springs, FL, but anyway, I have had a pleasant time reading it, keep it up!

  23. you are truly a excellent webmaster. The site loading velocity is amazing. It kind of feels that you are doing any distinctive trick. Moreover, The contents are masterpiece. you’ve done a magnificent task on this matter!

  24. Are you clairvoyant? You have to be since your blogging so completely fits all the questions I have for this topic. I only entered a couple of words in the google search and I am quite grateful that your piece popped up.

  25. With the desire of people right now to remain lovely and youthful always, they have been asked to use the several Hgh products in the market nowadays. Hgh products have been proven to be efficient in lessening or stopping the indications of aging from developing. But with the several products offered right now, it is advisable that you go through Human growth hormone reviews to assist you pick which best suits your need.

  26. Hello! I simply would choose to offer a huge thumbs up for your great information you could have here for this post. I will be coming back to your website for much more soon.

  27. Great post. I used to be checking continuously this weblog and I’m inspired! Very useful information specially the final phase I care for such information a lot. I used to be seeking this particular info for a lengthy time. Thank you and best of luck.

  28. Many thanks for creating the effort to discuss this, I feel strongly about this and like learning a great deal more on this subject. If feasible, as you gain expertise, would you mind updating your weblog with a great deal more details? It’s very useful for me.

  29. Just wish to say your article is as amazing. The clarity in your post is simply cool and i can assume you are an expert on this subject. Fine with your permission allow me to grab your feed to keep updated with forthcoming post. Thanks a million and please carry on the rewarding work.

  30. A person necessarily lend a hand to make critically posts I might state. This is the very first time I frequented your web page and thus far? I amazed with the analysis you made to create this actual put up extraordinary. Excellent process!

  31. Hip dysplasia is not uncommon in many dog breeds, particularly the larger breeds. It is a deformity of the of the hip joint so the bone and socket do not fit snug. It causes rubbing and degeneration of the bone, inflamation and damage to surounding cartalidge. The condition usually leads to arthritus as the bone is grinded down new mishapen bone grows back causing pain. The good news about Canine Hip Dysplasia is that most cases can be treated to help eliminate or decrease pain, allowing fairly normal levels of activity. Very few dogs today have to be put to sleep to alleviate suffering. There are always choices to be made, but the vast majority of affected animals can live quite comfortable lives. Depending on how severe the damege is pain medication and anti-inflammatory drugs can be given. Another very good supplement to give is glueclosamine. Eventually though surgery might be necessary. . . I would suggest talking to the shelter about having him examined by a vet of your choice before officially adopting him. If you are willing to spend a little money to consult with a vetranarian you’ll be able to discuss this guy’s prognosis. This way you can know beforehand if his case is mild or severe and what treatment options are reccommended and at what cost. I hope I haven’t scared you away from adopting this dog because it may only be arthritis misdiagnosed or a mild case of hip dysplasia, only a vet can tell you for sure.

  32. Very nice post. I just stumbled upon your blog and wished to say that I’ve really enjoyed surfing around your blog posts. After all I’ll be subscribing to your rss feed and I hope you write again very soon!

  33. Hi, I’ve suffered with a hearing problem all my life and using the web to talk to people has changed my life, I enjoy many blogs and plan to start my own in the near future. I found your site from a post I read, I though I’d take a look and I’m happy I did.

  34. There couple of interesting points at some point in this article but I don’t determine if I see they all center to heart. You can find some validity but I most certainly will take hold opinion until I check into it further. Excellent write-up , thanks so we want more! Included with FeedBurner likewise

  35. Considerably, the article is in reality the most excellent on this precious topic. I harmonise with your conclusions and can eagerly look forward to your next updates. Simply saying thanks will certainly not simply just be sufficient, for the phenomenal lucidity in your writing. I definitely will directly grab your rss feed to stay informed of any updates. De lightful work and much success in your business dealings!

  36. I discovered your website internet site on the internet and appearance a few of your early posts. Preserve in the great operate. I merely extra the Rss to my MSN News Reader. Seeking toward reading a lot more from you finding out down the line!…

  37. Youre so cool! I dont suppose Ive read anything similar to this before. So nice to seek out somebody with many original ideas on this subject. realy appreciation for starting this up. this website is one area that is needed on the net, someone after some originality. helpful work for bringing interesting things on the internet!

  38. The when I read a blog, Lets hope that this doesnt disappoint me just as much as that one. I am talking about, I know it was my option to read, but I actually thought youd have some thing intriguing to talk about. All I hear is really a couple of whining about something that you could fix should you werent too busy in search of attention.

  39. I really wanted to make a brief word to say thanks to you for all of the amazing points you are sharing at this website. My time intensive internet lookup has finally been honored with really good facts and strategies to go over with my colleagues. I ‘d claim that we visitors are rather fortunate to dwell in a remarkable website with so many lovely professionals with valuable guidelines. I feel somewhat fortunate to have encountered your entire site and look forward to plenty of more exciting minutes reading here. Thanks a lot once again for a lot of things.

  40. My husband and i ended up being very cheerful when Ervin could finish off his investigation through the ideas he came across from your weblog. It is now and again perplexing to simply happen to be giving out key points which others could have been trying to sell. So we know we have you to be grateful to because of that. The explanations you made, the straightforward web site navigation, the friendships you help foster – it is many fabulous, and it’s helping our son and the family know that this idea is fun, and that’s incredibly vital. Thanks for all the pieces!

  41. I’d been honored to receive a call from my friend as soon as he discovered the important recommendations shared on your site. Going through your blog posting is a real fantastic experience. Thank you for taking into account readers like me, and I desire for you the best of achievements for a professional surface area.

  42. The the next time I read a weblog, I hope that this doesnt disappoint me up to this one. I am talking about, I know it was my substitute for read, but I just thought youd have something intriguing to state. All I hear is usually a few whining about something that you could fix should you werent too busy seeking attention.

  43. Hello there! This is kind of off topic but I need some help from an established blog. Is it tough to set up your own blog? I’m not very techincal but I can figure things out pretty quick. I’m thinking about creating my own but I’m not sure where to start. Do you have any tips or suggestions? Thanks

  44. Nice post. I discover something much harder on different blogs everyday. It will always be stimulating to read content using their company writers and practice a little something from their website. I’d opt to use some with the content on my own blog whether or not you don’t mind. Natually I’ll offer you a link on your web weblog. Thank you for sharing.

  45. After study several of the blogs for your site now, and i genuinely appreciate your way of blogging. I bookmarked it to my bookmark internet site list and will also be checking back soon. Pls look at my web page as well and figure out what you believe.

  46. Howdy! This article couldn’t be written any better! Reading through this article reminds me of my previous roommate! He always kept preaching about this. I’ll forward this article to him. Fairly certain he’ll have a very good read. Thanks for sharing!

  47. Everything is very open with a precise description of the challenges. It was definitely informative. Your site is very helpful. Thanks for sharing.

  48. Nice post. I learn something totally new and challenging on blogs I stumbleupon on a daily basis. It’s always useful to read through content from other authors and practice a little something from their websites.

  49. There are very lots of details that way to think about. That is a fantastic examine bring up. I provide thoughts above as general inspiration but clearly you can find questions just like the one you retrieve the spot that the most significant factor will be in the honest excellent faith. I don?t know if guidelines have emerged about things like that, but Almost certainly that your chosen job is clearly labeled as a reasonable game. Both youngsters notice the impact of a little moment’s pleasure, for the rest of their lives.

  50. Dude.. I am not much into reading, but somehow I got to read lots of articles on your blog. Its amazing how interesting it is for me to visit you very often. –

  51. As such, it seems to me I need to collect all the software and document the process while I still can, and put it all in one place, both for myself, and for anyone else who wants to keep using this old.

  52. An intriguing discussion will be worth comment. There’s no doubt that you should write more on this topic, it might not be described as a taboo subject but normally folks are inadequate to speak on such topics. To another location. Cheers

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *